tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18935445.post6980803257861391790..comments2024-02-15T06:35:18.238-05:00Comments on *Reflective Disequilibrium*: GiveDirectly, happiness, and log incomeCarlhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16384464120149476437noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18935445.post-2143386121827870422014-03-13T01:02:07.315-04:002014-03-13T01:02:07.315-04:00What's your take on the Falkenstein / Easterli...What's your take on the Falkenstein / Easterlin hypothesis? The diagonal fit lines on those blobby graphs in Falkenstein's post sure did look spurious to me. Do you think his critique is valid?ESRogshttp://twitter.com/ESRogsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18935445.post-84669025191788147862014-03-12T22:33:09.967-04:002014-03-12T22:33:09.967-04:00Alexander, thanks, fixed. This post is written mus...Alexander, thanks, fixed. This post is written musing on a sanity check I was trying for the effect size, not anything to put much weight on.Carlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16384464120149476437noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18935445.post-47681005447061101192014-03-12T21:52:57.368-04:002014-03-12T21:52:57.368-04:00Carl - thanks for the thoughtful post. I just want...Carl - thanks for the thoughtful post. I just want to note that the large and small transfer impacts aren't decomposable in the manner you're reporting. To get the figures you want, you need to look at Table 56 on page 82 of this PDF: http://web.mit.edu/joha/www/publications/Haushofer_Shapiro_UCT_Online_Appendix_2013.11.15.pdf<br /><br />I don't think the results change too radically. But I would also guess that the study is underpowered to detected subtle differences in the slope of this variable.Alexander Bergerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10863255585843164453noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18935445.post-77119967744901319632014-03-12T18:28:00.275-04:002014-03-12T18:28:00.275-04:00Dan, yes the SDs vary. Wolfers' statements and...Dan, yes the SDs vary. Wolfers' statements and charts suggested this wasn't usually hugely important because of the large variation not accounted for by income, but certainly Kenya is further from the ceiling effects (you can't report a value above or below the given options).<br /><br />I may try to get the data to check on this possibility.Carlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16384464120149476437noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18935445.post-15200350057098743622014-03-12T18:14:58.657-04:002014-03-12T18:14:58.657-04:00The meaning of "one standard deviation" ...The meaning of "one standard deviation" depends on what population you're looking at. In the GiveDirectly study, it appears to refer to one standard deviation in the distribution of happiness of the people in Western Kenya villages.<br /><br />It's not clear what population's standard deviation is being used in Wolfers' .35 estimate - perhaps the world's entire current adult population? One "world's standard deviation" is presumably larger than one "Western Kenya's standard deviation."Dannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18935445.post-69457321917316486932014-03-11T10:27:55.753-04:002014-03-11T10:27:55.753-04:00People who have earned $2X/year for a while might ...People who have earned $2X/year for a while might be less happy than people who earned $2X this year but used to earn $X/year until last year, because hedonic treadmill. Army1987noreply@blogger.com