*Reflective Disequilibrium*
Thursday, October 15, 2020
Envisioning a world immune to global catastrophic biological risks
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The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the continuing vulnerability of our civilization to serious harm from novel diseases, but it has also ...
What do historical statistics teach us about the accidental release of pandemic bioweapons?
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Historically research on dangerous pathogens, for biodefense and bioweapons, has resulted in disturbingly frequent accidental infections of ...
Sunday, May 31, 2020
Experience curves, large populations, and the long run
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If our civilization avoids catastrophe, will we generally be able to advance technology to close to physical limits, match or exceed observ...
Thursday, May 28, 2020
Terrestrial solar energy could eventually support extremely large economies and populations
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If we are interested in whether Earth's civilization could ever reach various technological milestones, or long run economic output and...
Saturday, May 23, 2020
The High Frontier, space based solar power, and space manufacturing
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The High Frontier , published in 1976 by Gerard K O'Neill, lays out a vision of economically profitable space colonization in artifici...
Saturday, November 30, 2019
Person-affecting views may be dominated by possibilities of large future populations of necessary people
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On symmetric person-affecting views (PAV), in choosing between actions only necessary people, those who will exist regardless of our immedi...
Saturday, October 20, 2018
Financial returns of interstellar colonization for the sedentary
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Summary: In thinking about the likelihood of interstellar colonization by our civilization, or possible alien civilizations, one question i...
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