*Reflective Disequilibrium*
Sunday, May 31, 2020
Experience curves, large populations, and the long run
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If our civilization avoids catastrophe, will we generally be able to advance technology to close to physical limits, match or exceed observ...
Thursday, May 28, 2020
Terrestrial solar energy could eventually support extremely large economies and populations
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If we are interested in whether Earth's civilization could ever reach various technological milestones, or long run economic output and...
Saturday, May 23, 2020
The High Frontier, space based solar power, and space manufacturing
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The High Frontier , published in 1976 by Gerard K O'Neill, lays out a vision of economically profitable space colonization in artifici...
Saturday, November 30, 2019
Person-affecting views may be dominated by possibilities of large future populations of necessary people
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On symmetric person-affecting views (PAV), in choosing between actions only necessary people, those who will exist regardless of our immedi...
Saturday, October 20, 2018
Financial returns of interstellar colonization for the sedentary
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Summary: In thinking about the likelihood of interstellar colonization by our civilization, or possible alien civilizations, one question i...
Friday, October 19, 2018
Flow-through effects of innovation through the ages
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Summary: Per the previous post , it appears that growth impacts of saving lives have historically dwarfed the immediate effects, by increas...
Wednesday, October 17, 2018
Flow-through effects of saving a life through the ages on life-years lived
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Summary: Historically, human populations were much smaller, and humans have long contributed to a process of technological accumulation tha...
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